HomeMiddle EastRed Sea / Houthi Attacks
HIGHArmed ConflictMiddle East

Red Sea / Houthi Attacks

From November 2023, Houthi forces in Yemen began attacking commercial vessels in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, declaring that they would target ships connected to Israel or Israeli interests in solidarity with Gaza. The attacks rapidly expanded to target vessels with no obvious Israeli connection, threatening one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints.

AI Severity Score83/100
CountryYemen / Red Sea
StartedNovember 2023
Displaced
Last UpdatedMarch 2026
Situation Overview

From November 2023, Houthi forces in Yemen began attacking commercial vessels in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, declaring that they would target ships connected to Israel or Israeli interests in solidarity with Gaza. The attacks rapidly expanded to target vessels with no obvious Israeli connection, threatening one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints.

The Bab el-Mandeb Strait, through which the Red Sea traffic flows, handles approximately 15% of global shipping — including significant volumes of European-Asian trade, energy shipments, and container goods. By early 2024, the majority of major shipping companies had rerouted vessels around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 14 days to journey times and significantly increasing fuel and operational costs.

The US and UK launched Operation Prosperity Guardian and conducted airstrikes on Houthi missile and drone launch sites from January 2024. Despite sustained strikes, Houthi attack capability has proven resilient. Iran has provided missile and drone technology that has significantly extended Houthi reach and accuracy.

The economic impact is significant and ongoing. Container shipping rates from Asia to Europe surged 300-400% at peak. Insurance costs for Red Sea transits remain at war-risk premiums. Global supply chains have had to recalibrate around longer transit times.

Key Figures
80+
Commercial Vessels Attacked
~15%
Global Trade Disrupted
-50%
Suez Canal Traffic Decline
+400%
Shipping Rate Increase (peak)
+14 days
Additional Transit Time (Cape)
83 / 100
AI Severity Score
Timeline
Nov 2023
Houthis begin attacks on commercial vessels, citing Gaza solidarity.
Dec 2023
Major shipping companies (Maersk, MSC, Hapag-Lloyd) suspend Red Sea transits.
Jan 2024
US/UK launch Operation Prosperity Guardian; first airstrikes on Houthi sites.
Jan 2024
Houthis sink first commercial vessel; crew evacuated.
Mar 2024
Suez Canal traffic down 50% vs prior year; Cape of Good Hope rerouting standard.
Jun 2025
Following US-Iran escalation, Houthi attacks intensify; new drone swarm tactics.
Mar 2026
Attacks ongoing at 3-5/week. US carrier group maintains Red Sea presence.
Key Actors
Non-State Armed Group
Houthi Movement (Ansar Allah)
Conducting anti-shipping campaign; missile and drone attacks
State Actor
Iran (IRGC)
Missile and drone supply; intelligence support; directing operations
State Actor
US Navy / CENTCOM
Anti-Houthi strikes; vessel escort operations; carrier group presence
State Actor
UK Royal Navy
Operation Prosperity Guardian; vessel interception
⚠ This analysis is AI-assisted and aggregated from public sources. For official advisories, consult your government's foreign affairs department and relevant UN agency reports.
Crisis Score Breakdown
Displacement Scale85
Civilian Impact78
Escalation Risk75
Aid Access71